The North Korean Nuclear Threat

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Techmomof2
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The North Korean Nuclear Threat

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The mainstream media, by ignorance or design, consistently and grossly underestimates the nuclear and missile threat from North Korea. Most press and TV reporting gives the impression that North Korea has only a tiny and primitive nuclear arsenal (6-10 weapons is an oft reported number), missiles so unreliable that they are not a credible threat, and no capability to strike the U.S. mainland.

There are many and profound unknowns about North Korea's nuclear weapons and missile capabilities. Precisely for this reason, the North Korean nuclear threat should be described as including a range of credible possibilities, and not as a single point on that range of possibilities--and certainly not as the lowest, least threatening, estimate.
Reporters and their "experts" who prefer to low-ball the North Korean nuclear threat, pleading analytical conservatism, are in reality incautious and irresponsible. The public and their policymakers--who may hope for the best but should plan for the worst--are poorly served by the gross underestimation of the North Korean nuclear threat prevailing in the mainstream media.

The adage "better safe than sorry" should guide estimates of and policy toward nuclear North Korea. But the White House, that does not want a North Korea armed with nuclear missiles that can strike the United States to be part of President Obama's legacy, has done everything possible to deny and "spin" this reality toward the least threatening estimates.
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